Naoya Honda vs Ryan DickersonM25 Southaven Round of 32

M25 Southaven · ITF · Round of 32
#668ATP
1240ELO
1236Hard ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#677ATP
1181ELO
1174Hard ELO
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLLW
Honda N.
7-5 6-2
Dickerson R.
Honda N.
762
Dickerson R.
520

Naoya Honda defeated Ryan Dickerson in the Round of 32 at the M25 Southaven tournament, winning 7-5, 6-2 on hard courts. Honda hit 8 aces to Dickerson's 3 and converted 36% of break points compared to Dickerson's 20%. Honda won 71% of first-serve points to Dickerson's 62% and broke Dickerson's serve 4 times to Dickerson's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Naoya Honda closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
66%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
54%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
53%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.2
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
5.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Honda N.44%
Dickerson R.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.8+62 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1174
5.7Overall Elo 1240
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1181
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.5Won 59% in Usa (149)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Dickerson R.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw