Martin Damm vs Stefanos TsitsipasMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#94ATP
1706ELO
1657Hard ELO
$338kYTD
$910kCAREER
22 yrs · 203 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#49ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$1000kYTD
$38MCAREER
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Damm M.
4-6 4-6
Tsitsipas S.
Damm M.
440
Tsitsipas S.
662

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Martin Damm in the Round of 128 of the Montreal tournament, winning 6-4, 6-4 on hard courts. Tsitsipas served 9 aces and committed 5 double faults, while converting 50% of his break points and winning 82% of first-serve points. Damm had 6 aces, 3 double faults, 67% break point conversion, and 2 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Stefanos Tsitsipas edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
69%
69%
Return points won·Even
32%
34%
Break points saved·Even
66%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.6
6.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
99
Break points won·Dominant
1
71
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Damm M.40%
Tsitsipas S.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tsitsipas S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1657
Surface ELO
6.8+146 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1706
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1833
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
81

Damm M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Tsitsipas S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw