Maja Chwalinska vs Talia Gibson — Toronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
Maja Chwalinska
POL18
Maja Chwalinska
#23WTA
1833ELO
1736Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 164 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
Talia Gibson
AUS
Talia Gibson
#65WTA
1737ELO
1764Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLWW
Chwalinska M.
5-7 1-6
Gibson T.
Chwalinska M.
510
Gibson T.
762

Talia Gibson defeated Maja Chwalinska in the Round of 64 at the Toronto tournament, winning 7-5, 6-1 on hard courts. Gibson converted 60% of her break points and won 6 service breaks to Chwalinska's 3. Gibson hit 3 aces and 5 double faults, compared to Chwalinska's 1 ace and 7 double faults.

Around the match

  • Chwalinska sustained an injury at Wimbledon and faces her first North American hard court swing, raising questions about her variety on fast courts.

    Chwalinska M.Last Word On Sports ↗

  • “Coming into this tournament, I just wanted to do my best to not put any pressure on myself around any results, but to find my way back into some good rhythm.”

    Gibson T.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “I was definitely looking forward to a return to cement.”

    Gibson T.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Talia Gibson came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Chwalinska M.Gibson T.
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
5.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Chwalinska M.Gibson T.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
65
74
Break points saved·Dominant
50
83
Break points won·Dominant
98
70
Deciding sets·Even
80
83
Tiebreaks·
—
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Chwalinska M.43%
Gibson T.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Chwalinska M.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Gibson T.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1736
Surface ELO
5.4+29 Hard Elo edge
6.2Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1737
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.57 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.58 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Chwalinska M.Gibson T.
Freshness·Slight edge
79
72

Chwalinska M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Gibson T.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw