Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci — Montreal Round of 128
Baez S.
Sebastian Baez defeated Mattia Bellucci in the Round of 128 of the Montreal tournament on hard courts, winning in straight sets 7-5, 6-3. Baez served 2 aces and committed 4 double faults, while converting 43% of break points and winning 78% of first-serve points. Bellucci had 6 aces and 6 double faults, converting 17% of break points and securing 1 service break.
Key context
- Match story: Sebastian Baez closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadBaez S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Bellucci M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About