Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper — Montreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
Terence Atmane
FRA
Terence Atmane
#45ATP
1704ELO
1674Hard ELO
$717kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
Jack Draper
GBRWC
Jack Draper
#143ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$351kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLWW
Atmane T.
6-3 2-6 6-2
Draper J.
Atmane T.
6262
Draper J.
3621

Terence Atmane defeated Jack Draper in the Round of 128 in Montreal. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 in favor of Atmane. Atmane hit 9 aces and 6 double faults, while winning 74% of first-serve points and converting 75% of break points, ultimately securing 3 service breaks to Draper's 2.

Around the match

  • Draper returns to competition after a three-month absence since his Eastbourne semi-final run in June.

    Draper J.Tennisnerd ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Terence Atmane closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Atmane T.Draper J.
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
30%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.0
6.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Atmane T.Draper J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
40
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
98
Break points won·Dominant
23
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
39
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Atmane T.15%
Draper J.85%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Draper J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Atmane T.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Draper J.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1674
Surface ELO
6.4+109 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1704
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Atmane T.Draper J.
Freshness·Clear edge
74
94

Atmane T.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 52 games (7d) · Draper J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw