Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin — Lexington Round of 32

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
CANWC
Nicolas Arseneault
#1100ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 1 · 4th on
Andres Martin
USAQ
Andres Martin
#320ATP
1337ELO
1332Hard ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLL
Arseneault N.
2-6 2-6
Martin A.
Arseneault N.
220
Martin A.
662

Andres Martin defeated Nicolas Arseneault 6-2, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the Lexington hard-court tournament. Martin did not hit an ace but made three double faults, while Arseneault hit three aces and made one double fault. Martin converted 31% of break points and broke Arseneault's serve five times en route to the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Arseneault N.Martin A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Arseneault N.43%
Martin A.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arseneault N.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Martin A.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
2.43 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
6.2Won 70% in Usa (54)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Arseneault N.Martin A.
Freshness·Dominant
88
57

Arseneault N.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Martin A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw