Federico Arnaboldi vs N. Ciavarella — M25 Fano Round of 32

M25 Fano · ITF · Round of 32
Federico Arnaboldi
ITA4
Federico Arnaboldi
#523ATP
1328ELO
1289Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
clay
ITA
N. Ciavarella
#1000ATP
22 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
Arnaboldi F.
7-5 6-1
Ciavarella N.
Arnaboldi F.
762
Ciavarella N.
510

Federico Arnaboldi defeated N. Ciavarella 7-5, 6-1 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Fano tournament on clay. Arnaboldi converted 71% of his break points and secured five service breaks to Ciavarella's two. Arnaboldi hit two aces and committed zero double faults in the match.

Key context

  • Match story: Federico Arnaboldi came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-23M15 BergamoR32clayFederico Arnaboldi4-6 6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
Arnaboldi F.Ciavarella N.
1st serve in·Even
58%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Arnaboldi F.82%
Ciavarella N.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Arnaboldi F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arnaboldi F.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Ciavarella N.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
3.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Arnaboldi F.Ciavarella N.
Freshness·
100
—

Arnaboldi F.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw