Lorenzo Angelini vs Petr NesterovPlovdiv 2 Round of 32

Plovdiv 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#569ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 3rd on
#301ATP
1456ELO
1410Clay ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
Angelini L.
5-7 1-6
Nesterov P.
Angelini L.
510
Nesterov P.
762

Petr Nesterov defeated Lorenzo Angelini in the Round of 32 at the Plovdiv 2 tournament on clay, winning 7-5, 6-1. Nesterov hit one ace and two double faults, while Angelini had no aces and three double faults. Nesterov converted 62% of his break points and won five service breaks to Angelini's two.

Key context

  • Match story: Petr Nesterov came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-08M15 Bistrita 1R16clayPetr Nesterov6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
74%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.5
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Angelini L.18%
Nesterov P.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Nesterov P. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
91

Angelini L.: 15 days rest · Nesterov P.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 25%

Draw