Mai Hontama vs Erika AndreevaW100 Landisville Round of 32

W100 Landisville · ITF · Round of 32
#171WTA
1480ELO
1442Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#214WTA
1553ELO
1513Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWLW
Hontama M.
6-4 4-6 7-6
Andreeva E.
Hontama M.
64772
Andreeva E.
46651

Mai Hontama defeated Erika Andreeva 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 in the Round of 32 at the W100 Landisville tournament. The match saw Hontama hit one ace and five double faults, while Andreeva had five aces and three double faults. Both players converted 42% and 45% of their break points, respectively, and each won five service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
51%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.8
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
29
65
Break points saved·Dominant
27
56
Break points won·Slight edge
96
86
Deciding sets·Dominant
28
77
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
68
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Hontama M.45%
Andreeva E.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1442
Surface ELO
5.9+72 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1480
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1553
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
5.2Won 54% in Usa (24)
Country comfort
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Hontama M.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw