Saba Purtseladze vs Mert Alkaya — Istanbul 2 Round of 32

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
GEOQ
Saba Purtseladze
#646ATP
1220ELO
1252Hard ELO
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 4th on
TUR8
Mert Alkaya
#298ATP
1358ELO
1337Hard ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Purtseladze S.
6-7 4-6
Alkaya M.
Purtseladze S.
6240
Alkaya M.
7762

Mert Alkaya defeated Saba Purtseladze in the Round of 32 at the Istanbul 2 hard court tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-4 in favor of Alkaya.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Purtseladze S.Alkaya M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
52%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
52%
71%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.7
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.2
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Purtseladze S.36%
Alkaya M.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Alkaya M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Purtseladze S.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Alkaya M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1252
Surface ELO
6.1+85 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1220
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1358
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Purtseladze S.Alkaya M.
Freshness·Slight edge
79
84

Purtseladze S.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Alkaya M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw