Camila Osorio vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#55WTA
1807ELO
1780Hard ELO
24 yrs · 162 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#18WTA
1844ELO
1800Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$11MCAREER
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWW
Osorio C.
3-6 6-7
Alexandrova E.
Osorio C.
3640
Alexandrova E.
6772

Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Camila Osorio in the Round of 64 at the Toronto tournament, winning 6-3, 7-6 on hard courts. Alexandrova served 2 aces and committed 15 double faults, while converting 42% of break points and winning 76% of first-serve points. She secured 5 service breaks to Osorio's 3.

Around the match

  • Alexandrova's 2026 season has deteriorated significantly, including a heat-forced withdrawal from Memphis where she lost to 16-year-old Kristina Liutova.

    Alexandrova E.Last Word On Sports

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosR128clayCamila Osorio6-2 6-4
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R64hardCamila Osorio6-4 7-6
2021-06-28WimbledonR64grassCamila Osorio7-5 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
4.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
51
57
Break points saved·Dominant
15
71
Break points won·Even
97
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
77
52
Tiebreaks·Dominant
49
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Osorio C.56%
Alexandrova E.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1780
Surface ELO
5.2+19 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1807
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1844
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.43 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
91
56

Osorio C.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Alexandrova E.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw