Dan Added vs Lucas PoullainIstanbul 2 Round of 32

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#223ATP
1418ELO
1402Hard ELO
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT A · 3rd on
#369ATP
1295ELO
1286Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLLWL
Added D.
4-6 1-6
Poullain L.
Added D.
410
Poullain L.
662

Lucas Poullain defeated Dan Added in the Round of 32 at the Istanbul 2 hard court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-1 in favor of Poullain.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-06M15 Lons-le-Saunier 1FhardDan Added5-7 7-6(6) 6-3
2023-07-08M25+H Ajaccio 1QFhardLucas Poullain7-6(4) 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
0.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
21
11
Break points saved·Dominant
81
31
Break points won·Clear edge
9
21
Deciding sets·Clear edge
31
12
Tiebreaks·Dominant
14
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Added D.42%
Poullain L.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Poullain L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+116 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1286
6.5Overall Elo 1418
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1295
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
72

Added D.: 16 days rest · Poullain L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw