Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai ZhangToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#81WTA
1805ELO
1758Hard ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#54WTA
1718ELO
1695Hard ELO
37 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLL
Putintseva Y.
4-6 1-6
Zhang S.
Putintseva Y.
410
Zhang S.
662

Shuai Zhang defeated Yulia Putintseva in the Round of 128 at the Toronto tournament, winning 6-4, 6-1 on hard courts. Zhang converted 60% of her break points and secured six service breaks, compared to Putintseva's two breaks and 33% break point conversion rate. Zhang did not hit an ace, while Putintseva had one; Zhang committed three double faults, Putintseva two.

Key context

Head to head

62
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31CharlestonR32clayYulia Putintseva7-6 6-1
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardYulia Putintseva6-2 6-1
2024-10-07WuhanR64hardYulia Putintseva6-4 6-4
2021-09-20OstravaR32hardYulia Putintseva5-7 7-6 6-4
2021-08-16CincinnatiR64hardYulia Putintseva6-2 6-0
2020-08-24CincinnatiR64hardYulia Putintseva6-4 6-3
2019-02-09Fed Cup G1 PPO: CHN vs KAZRRhardShuai Zhang6-3 3-6 6-4
2017-10-02BeijingR64hardShuai Zhang6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
71%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
48
46
Break points saved·Clear edge
29
12
Break points won·Slight edge
95
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
67
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
30
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Putintseva Y.64%
Zhang S.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Putintseva Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+64 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1695
6.1Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1718
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.95 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
74

Putintseva Y.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 37 games (7d) · Zhang S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw