Guy Den Ouden vs Alexandre MullerHagen Round of 32

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#215ATP
1495ELO
1484Clay ELO
$84kYTD
$332kCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
clay
PLATZMANN CENTRE COURT · 4th on
#136ATP
1665ELO
1628Clay ELO
$426kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
Den Ouden G.
7-5 6-2
Muller A.
Den Ouden G.
762
Muller A.
520

Guy Den Ouden defeated Alexandre Muller in the Round of 32 at the Hagen tournament on clay, winning 7-5, 6-2. Den Ouden hit 5 aces and 1 double fault, while Muller hit 1 ace and 4 double faults. Den Ouden converted 40% of his break points and Muller converted 20%, with Den Ouden securing 4 service breaks to Muller's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Guy Den Ouden closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
47%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
72
Break points saved·Clear edge
72
90
Break points won·Slight edge
36
46
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
35
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Den Ouden G.45%
Muller A.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1484
Surface ELO
6.8+144 Clay Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1495
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1664
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.62 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
100

Den Ouden G.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Muller A.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
34°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw