Andres Martin vs Trevor SvajdaLexington Q16

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Q16
#320ATP
1337ELO
1332Hard ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 2 · 2nd on
#383ATP
1485ELO
1451Hard ELO
20 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Martin A.
6-4 7-6
Svajda T.
Martin A.
6772
Svajda T.
4620

Andres Martin won the Lexington hard-court final, defeating Trevor Svajda 6-4, 7-6. Martin served six aces to Svajda's one and converted 57 percent of his break points, compared to Svajda's 50 percent. Martin won four service breaks to Svajda's three.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
67%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
43%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.9
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Martin A.43%
Svajda T.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1332
Surface ELO
6.5+119 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1337
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1485
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.74 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.05 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.2Won 70% in Usa (53)
Country comfort
6.5Won 75% in Usa (55)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
57
85

Martin A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d) · Svajda T.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw