Teodora Kostovic vs Martyna KubkaWarsaw Round of 32

Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#150WTA
1532ELO
1513Hard ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#183WTA
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Kostovic T.
6-7 6-2 1-6
Kubka M.
Kostovic T.
63611
Kubka M.
77262

Martyna Kubka defeated Teodora Kostovic in the Round of 32 of the Warsaw hard-court tournament, winning 7-6, 2-6, 6-1. Kubka and Kostovic were evenly matched in some areas, as they finished with equal numbers of aces (8 for Kubka, 13 for Kostovic) and double faults (4 each). However, Kubka won 77% of her first-serve points, compared to 54% for Kostovic, and converted 75% of her break points, compared to 50% for Kostovic; both players earned 3 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Martyna Kubka came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 2–6 6–1.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-28W15 Leimen 1QFhardMartyna Kubka6-3 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.6
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (48 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Kostovic T.47%
Kubka M.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1513
Surface ELO
5.6+52 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1532
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1600
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.78 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Kostovic T.: 15 days rest · Kubka M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw