Ergi Kirkin vs Oskari PaldaniusGrodzisk Mazowiecki Qualifying Round of 16

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#594ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 13 · 1st on
#1052ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLL
Kirkin E.
6-7 6-4 6-2
Paldanius O.
Kirkin E.
63662
Paldanius O.
77421

Ergi Kirkin won the final of the Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard-court tournament, defeating Oskari Paldanius 6-7, 6-4, 6-2. Kirkin hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, while Paldanius had 0 aces and 3 double faults. Kirkin converted 64% of his break points and broke Paldanius' serve 7 times, compared to Paldanius' 4 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Even
55%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Kirkin E.58%
Paldanius O.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.41 of last 5 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
68

Kirkin E.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Paldanius O.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw