Maxim Mrva vs Nicolas KickerHagen Q16

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Q16
#309ATP
1500ELO
1447Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
clay
PLATZMANN CENTRE COURT · 3rd on
#366ATP
1385ELO
1373Clay ELO
34 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLL
Mrva M.
6-4 6-2
Kicker N.
Mrva M.
662
Kicker N.
420

Maxim Mrva won the final of the Hagen clay tournament, defeating Nicolas Kicker 6-4, 6-2. Mrva hit 5 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Kicker had 2 aces and 6 double faults. Mrva converted 67% of his break points and broke Kicker's serve 6 times, compared to Kicker's 3 breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Mrva M.13%
Kicker N.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Kicker N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.43 of last 7 on clay
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
55
67

Mrva M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 102 games (7d) · Kicker N.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw