Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Maya JointToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#78WTA
1759ELO
1668Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#67WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWLW
Starodubtseva Y.
6-4 1-6 3-6
Joint M.
Starodubtseva Y.
6131
Joint M.
4662

Maya Joint defeated Yuliia Starodubtseva in the Round of 128 at the Toronto tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 6-1, 6-3 in favor of Joint. Joint hit 3 aces and 5 double faults, winning 54% of her first serves and converting 50% of break points, while her opponent converted 22% of break points; Joint won 7 service breaks to Starodubtseva's 4.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-15NottinghamR32grassYuliia Starodubtseva5-7 4-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
75
77
Break points saved·Clear edge
89
76
Break points won·Even
95
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
66
77
Tiebreaks·
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Starodubtseva Y.46%
Joint M.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+11 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1657
6.3Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1659
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.83 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
88

Starodubtseva Y.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Joint M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw