Taylor Fritz vs Rafael JodarWashington Final

Washington · ATP · Final
#9ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 2nd on
#11ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Fritz T.
7-6 6-4
Jodar R.
Fritz T.
7762
Jodar R.
6240

Taylor Fritz won the Washington final, defeating Rafael Jodar 7-6, 6-4. Fritz served effectively, hitting 6 aces and winning 81% of his first-serve points, while also converting 67% of his break points. Fritz secured 2 service breaks to Jodar's 1 en route to the title.

Around the match

  • His knee tendinitis is not currently an issue, but he received treatment multiple times on Friday and admitted that he briefly felt it again on Saturday.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Delray BeachR16hardTaylor Fritz7-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
15.9
4.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
77
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
91
Break points won·Dominant
36
71
Deciding sets·Even
97
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Fritz T.62%
Jodar R.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Fritz T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1838
Surface ELO
5.4+34 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1999
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
8.38 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.68 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
60

Fritz T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Jodar R.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw