Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala — Washington Final

Washington · WTA · Final
Jessica Pegula
USA1
Jessica Pegula
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 1st on
Alexandra Eala
PHI
Alexandra Eala
#20WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWL
Pegula J.
6-4 4-6 0-6
Eala A.
Pegula J.
6401
Eala A.
4662

Alexandra Eala won the final of the Washington tournament, defeating Jessica Pegula 4-6, 6-4, 6-0. Eala served 0 aces and made 3 double faults, while Pegula served 4 aces and made 1 double fault. Eala converted 56% of her break points and broke Pegula's serve 5 times, compared to Pegula's 2 breaks and 67% break point conversion.

Around the match

  • “I think that my serve can be uncomfortable. I think I try to play around a lot with variety. Of course, it would be great if I had a serve that went 200 kilometers per hour. I'd love that also, but it's a process.”

    Eala A.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “That week, I think I've said before, was just kind of the monkey off my back. I remember playing a great final. I played really, really well and was able to handle my nerves and all these other emotions I had going in.”

    Pegula J.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “Going into this tournament, I looked at the list, and it was jam-packed. It was big player after big player after big player. So to be in the final really means a lot to me.”

    Eala A.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “Alex, I'm a big fan of hers. She's the future of the tour and she's already here.”

    Pegula J.Yahoo Sports ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-18MiamiSFhardJessica Pegula7-6 5-7 6-3

Statistics

This season
Pegula J.Eala A.
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pegula J.Eala A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
41
Break points saved·Dominant
86
12
Break points won·Clear edge
99
83
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
65
Tiebreaks·
91
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Pegula J.71%
Eala A.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Pegula J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pegula J.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Eala A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+226 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1832
7.5Overall Elo 2096
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1895
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
8.38 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.77 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pegula J.Eala A.
Freshness·Slight edge
78
68

Pegula J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Eala A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw