Ryan Colby vs Spencer Johnson — Lexington Q16
Colby R.Spencer Johnson won the Lexington final, defeating Ryan Colby 6-1, 6-7, 7-6. Johnson served 8 aces to Colby's 1 and converted 55% of his break points, compared to Colby's 50%. Johnson won 75% of his first-serve points to Colby's 60%, and he broke Colby's serve 6 times to Colby's 4.
Key context
- Match story: Spencer Johnson came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 6–7 7–6.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Johnson S. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadColby R.: 19 days rest · Johnson S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About