Federico Cina vs Elias Ymer — Lexington Round of 32
Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#174ATP
1630ELO
1583Hard ELO
$296kYTD
$536kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 1 · 3rd on
SWE#212ATP
1548ELO
1527Hard ELO
$191kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLWWWL
Cina F.6-3 7-5
Ymer E.
Cina F.
672
Ymer E.
350
Federico Cina defeated Elias Ymer in the Round of 32 at the Lexington hard-court tournament, winning 6-3, 7-5. Cina hit 6 aces and 7 double faults, while converting 71% of his break points and winning 75% of his first-serve points. Cina secured 5 service breaks to Ymer's 2.
Key context
- Match story: Federico Cina closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
5.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTCCina F.57%
Ymer E.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.7+56 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO4.3Hard Elo 1527
6.0Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap4.0Overall Elo 1548
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
8.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form4.65 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transitionContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 51%