Mccartney Kessler vs Cadence BraceToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#58WTA
1808ELO
1785Hard ELO
$742kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#253WTA
1506ELO
1493Hard ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLWL
Kessler M.
6-3 6-3
Brace C.
Kessler M.
662
Brace C.
330

Mccartney Kessler defeated Cadence Brace in the Round of 128 of the Toronto hard-court tournament, winning 6-3, 6-3. Kessler served six aces to Brace's zero and converted 43 percent of her break points, compared to Brace's zero. Kessler won 81 percent of her first-serve points to Brace's 62 percent, and she broke Brace's serve three times.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
51%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.2
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Kessler M.73%
Brace C.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kessler M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.6+291 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1493
8.8Overall Elo 1808
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1506
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
100

Kessler M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Brace C.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw