Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna BondarToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#51WTA
1827ELO
1743Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
#76WTA
1735ELO
1654Hard ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWLW
Kalinina A.
4-6 5-7
Bondar A.
Kalinina A.
450
Bondar A.
672

Anna Bondar defeated Anhelina Kalinina in the Round of 128 of the Toronto hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 7-5 in favor of Bondar. Bondar hit one ace and three double faults, while Kalinina had no aces and six double faults; Bondar won 66% of her first serves and converted 43% of break points, compared to 48% and 80% for Kalinina, respectively; Bondar secured 6 service breaks to Kalinina's 4.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-21RabatQFclayAnhelina Kalinina6-4 7-5
2022-06-27WimbledonR128grassAnhelina Kalinina4-6 6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.4
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (52 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
41
0
Break points saved·Clear edge
11
29
Break points won·Dominant
89
18
Deciding sets·Dominant
85
4
Tiebreaks·Even
4
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Kalinina A.60%
Bondar A.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kalinina A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+89 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1654
6.2Overall Elo 1827
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1734
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.73 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
94

Kalinina A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Bondar A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw