Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone — Montreal Round of 128
Berrettini M.
Mariano Navone defeated Matteo Berrettini in the Round of 128 of the Montreal tournament, winning 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 on hard courts. Navone converted 60% of his break points, securing three service breaks to Berrettini's one, despite having fewer aces and a lower first-serve win percentage.
Around the match
Berrettini returns to Montreal for first time since 2023 after missing two years with injuries; reached Roland-Garros QF before retiring with hip injury.
Berrettini M.National Bank Open ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Mariano Navone closed it out in three sets, 6–3 6–7 6–3.
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | R64 | clay | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-04-01 | Marrakech | SF | clay | Matteo Berrettini | 6-7 6-3 6-2 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Berrettini M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadBerrettini M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d) · Navone M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About