Alex Barrena vs Timofey SkatovHagen Round of 32

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#259ATP
1375ELO
1347Clay ELO
$100kYTD
$266kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
clay
SPARKASSEN PREMIUM COURT · 4th on
#149ATP
1544ELO
1531Clay ELO
$110kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
Barrena A.
7-6 6-2
Skatov T.
Barrena A.
7762
Skatov T.
6420

Alex Barrena defeated Timofey Skatov in the Round of 32 at the Hagen tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 6-2. Barrena hit 2 aces and 4 double faults, while Skatov had 0 aces and 6 double faults. Barrena converted 62% of break points and broke Skatov's serve 5 times, compared to Skatov's 3 breaks and 50% break point conversion.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex Barrena closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-22WimbledonQFgrassTimofey Skatov6-3 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
30
18
Break points saved·Dominant
43
77
Break points won·Dominant
54
14
Deciding sets·Clear edge
27
5
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
68
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Barrena A.31%
Skatov T.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Skatov T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1347
Surface ELO
7.3+184 Clay Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1375
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1544
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
3.94 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
100

Barrena A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 40 games (7d) · Skatov T.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw