Nikola Bartunkova vs Bianca Andreescu — Toronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
Nikola Bartunkova
CZE
Nikola Bartunkova
#39WTA
1788ELO
1719Hard ELO
$767kYTD
$973kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
Bianca Andreescu
CANWC
Bianca Andreescu
#185WTA
1701ELO
1690Hard ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLLWW
Bartunkova N.
7-5 6-4
Andreescu B.
Bartunkova N.
762
Andreescu B.
540

Nikola Bartunkova defeated Bianca Andreescu 7-5, 6-4 in the Round of 128 at the Toronto hard-court tournament. Bartunkova served eight aces to Andreescu's four and converted four service breaks to her opponent's two. Bartunkova won 76 percent of her first serves to Andreescu's 62 percent.

Around the match

  • Andreescu is injury-free in 2026 after enduring withdrawal from Montreal last year, positioning her well for Toronto despite being the underdog against rising Czech Bartunkova.

    Andreescu B.Last Word On Sports ↗

  • “I feel good. I'm super healthy, that's been the main priority for me. I've been managing everything around me quite well. So, I'm just ready to bring it.”

    Andreescu B.National Bank Open ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Bartunkova N.Andreescu B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.7
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bartunkova N.Andreescu B.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
72
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
76
66
Break points won·Slight edge
90
80
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
88
Tiebreaks·
—
32

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Bartunkova N.60%
Andreescu B.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bartunkova N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bartunkova N.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Andreescu B.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+30 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1690
6.1Overall Elo 1788
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1701
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bartunkova N.Andreescu B.
Freshness·Clear edge
77
96

Bartunkova N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Andreescu B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw