Andres Andrade vs Andre Ilagan — Lexington Round of 32

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ECUALT
Andres Andrade
#256ATP
1505ELO
1427Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 3rd on
USAALT
Andre Ilagan
#210ATP
1543ELO
1518Hard ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Andrade A.
3-6 4-6
Ilagan A.
Andrade A.
340
Ilagan A.
662

Andre Ilagan defeated Andres Andrade 6-3, 6-4 in the Round of 32 at the Lexington hard-court tournament. Ilagan and Andrade were even in aces, 5-5, and Ilagan committed one fewer double fault. Ilagan converted 40% of his break points and won two service breaks to Andrade's none.

Key context

  • Match story: Andre Ilagan closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Andrade A.Ilagan A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Andrade A.Ilagan A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
44
37
Break points saved·Clear edge
53
76
Break points won·Dominant
50
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
91
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Andrade A.43%
Ilagan A.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Andrade A.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Ilagan A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1427
Surface ELO
6.1+92 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1505
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1543
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.3Won 71% in Usa (70)
Country comfort
5.5Won 58% in Usa (45)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Andrade A.Ilagan A.
Freshness·Even
61
61

Andrade A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 104 games (7d) · Ilagan A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw