Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha AkugueWarsaw Round of 32

Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#191WTA
1515ELO
1490Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 3 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 1st on
#141WTA
1624ELO
1588Hard ELO
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLLW
Avdeeva J.
2-6 3-6
Noha Akugue N.
Avdeeva J.
230
Noha Akugue N.
662

Noma Noha Akugue defeated Julia Avdeeva 6-2, 6-3 in the Round of 32 of the Warsaw hard-court tournament. Akugue converted 40% of her break points and secured four service breaks en route to the win. Avdeeva committed eight double faults in the match.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-08W50 Leipzig 1QFclayJulia Avdeeva6-4 1-6 7-6(6)
2025-08-04W50+H LeipzigQFclayJulia Avdeeva6-4 1-6 7-6
2024-05-01W100 Wiesbaden 1R32clayJulia Avdeeva6-3 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Avdeeva J.35%
Noha Akugue N.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Noha Akugue N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1490
Surface ELO
6.2+98 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1514
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1624
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.48 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Avdeeva J.: 17 days rest · Noha Akugue N.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw