Lexie Stevens vs Mutsumi UemuraW15 Brisbane 3 Final

W15 Brisbane 3 · ITF · Final
#745WTA
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
#861WTA
56 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLL
Stevens L.
6-3 4-6 4-6
Uemura M.
Stevens L.
6441
Uemura M.
3662

Mutsumi Uemura defeated Lexie Stevens in the final of the W15 Brisbane 3 tournament, winning 3-6, 6-4, 6-4. Both players hit two aces, with Uemura committing three double faults to Stevens' nine. Uemura and Stevens posted identical first-serve win percentages and break points converted percentages, and each player earned five service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
70%
1st serve points won·
49%
2nd serve points won·
49%
Service points won·
49%
Return points won·
46%
Break points saved·
44%
Aces / match·
0.3
Double faults / match·
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Stevens L.58%
Uemura M.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Stevens L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw