Kamilla Rakhimova vs Venus WilliamsToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#83WTA
1693ELO
1671Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
#615WTA
1654ELO
1617Hard ELO
46 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Rakhimova K.
6-4 6-1
Williams V.
Rakhimova K.
662
Williams V.
410

Kamilla Rakhimova defeated Venus Williams in the Round of 128 at the Toronto tournament, winning 6-4, 6-1 on hard courts. Rakhimova converted 83% of her break points and secured five service breaks, compared to Williams' one. Rakhimova also had one ace and five double faults, while Williams had two aces and six double faults.

Around the match

  • Venus returns to Toronto for the first time since 2022 still seeking her first singles win in a year, with age and fitness concerns noted ahead of her match against Rakhimova.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
37%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
37%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
5.5
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
53
Break points saved·Dominant
7
53
Break points won·Clear edge
77
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
15
29
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Rakhimova K.82%
Williams V.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Rakhimova K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+54 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1617
5.5Overall Elo 1693
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1654
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.00 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 12
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
95

Rakhimova K.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Williams V.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CRain
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw