Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura SamsonTargu Mures Final

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Final
#110WTA
1757ELO
1714Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#122WTA
1690ELO
1684Clay ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Quevedo K.
6-2 3-6 1-6
Samson L.
Quevedo K.
6311
Samson L.
2662

Laura Samson won the final of the Targu Mures clay tournament, defeating Kaitlin Quevedo 2-6, 6-3, 6-1. Laura Samson hit 8 aces and committed 6 double faults, while converting 50% of her break points and winning 70% of her first-serve points. Samson secured 4 service breaks to Quevedo's 2.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-05W35 Klagenfurt 1QFclayKaitlin Quevedo4-6 6-1 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Quevedo K.66%
Samson L.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Quevedo K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+30 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1684
5.8Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1690
5.7Leads 2–1 on clay
H2H
4.3Trails 1–2 on clay
7.47 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.28 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Quevedo K.: 17 days rest · Samson L.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw