Oskari Paldanius vs Leo RaquilletGrodzisk Mazowiecki Q32

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Q32
#1052ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 12 · 1st on
#665ATP
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWLL
Paldanius O.
3-6 6-0 7-5
Raquillet L.
Paldanius O.
3672
Raquillet L.
6051

Oskari Paldanius defeated Leo Raquillet in the semifinals of the Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard-court tournament. Paldanius won 3-6, 6-0, 7-5. He hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, and converted 60% of break points, while Raquillet converted 57%, in a match that saw Paldanius secure 6 service breaks to Raquillet's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
74%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
55%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
48%
33%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
49%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Paldanius O.60%
Raquillet L.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Paldanius O. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
1.72 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
56

Paldanius O.: 16 days rest · Raquillet L.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw