Lucrezia Stefanini vs Camila OsorioToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#142WTA
1527ELO
1497Hard ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
#55WTA
1807ELO
1780Hard ELO
24 yrs · 162 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLWW
Stefanini L.
6-7 3-6
Osorio C.
Stefanini L.
6430
Osorio C.
7762

Camila Osorio defeated Lucrezia Stefanini in the Round of 128 at the Toronto tournament, winning 7-6, 6-3 on hard courts. Camila Osorio had 3 double faults, 51% first-serve win percentage, and converted 62% of break points, while Lucrezia Stefanini had 4 double faults, 34% first-serve win percentage, and converted 67% of break points. Camila Osorio secured 8 service breaks, compared to Lucrezia Stefanini's 6.

Key context

  • Match story: Camila Osorio closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
54%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Even
52%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.6
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
32
51
Break points saved·Slight edge
26
15
Break points won·Even
96
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
60
77
Tiebreaks·Dominant
19
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Stefanini L.24%
Osorio C.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Osorio C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Hard Elo 1497
Surface ELO
8.5+283 Hard Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1527
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1807
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
91

Stefanini L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d) · Osorio C.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 92%

Draw