Carl Emil Overbeck vs Petr NesterovM25 Gentofte Final

M25 Gentofte · ITF · Final
#323ATP
1293ELO
1257Clay ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
clay
#301ATP
1456ELO
1410Clay ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
Emil Overbeck C.
6-3 3-6 1-6
Nesterov P.
Emil Overbeck C.
6311
Nesterov P.
3662

Petr Nesterov won the M25 Gentofte final, defeating Carl Emil Overbeck 3-6, 6-3, 6-1. Nesterov hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, while converting 50% of break points and winning 62% of first-serve points. Overbeck had 2 aces and 6 double faults, converting 43% of break points and winning 65% of first-serve points; he secured 3 service breaks to Nesterov's 6.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.0
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Emil Overbeck C.38%
Nesterov P.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Nesterov P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1256
Surface ELO
6.9+153 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1293
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1456
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Nesterov P.: 9 days rest · 5 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw