Bryce Nakashima vs Mees Rottgering — Lexington Q32
NED7
Nakashima B.
Mees Rottgering defeated Bryce Nakashima in the semifinals of the Lexington hard-court tournament, winning 6-1, 6-3. Rottgering and Nakashima were even in aces and double faults, but Rottgering converted 44% of break points while Nakashima converted none. Rottgering won four service breaks to Nakashima's zero.
Key context
- Match story: Mees Rottgering dropped just 4 games past Bryce Nakashima.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Rottgering M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadNakashima B.: 17 days rest · Rottgering M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About