Aidan Mayo vs Christian Langmo — Lexington Q32

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Q32
USA
Aidan Mayo
#616ATP
1380ELO
1359Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 1st on
Christian Langmo
USA9
Christian Langmo
#464ATP
1267ELO
1254Hard ELO
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLW
Mayo A.
6-7 6-3 7-5
Langmo C.
Mayo A.
66672
Langmo C.
78351

Aidan Mayo defeated Christian Langmo in the semifinals of the Lexington hard-court tournament, winning 6-7, 6-3, 7-5. Mayo hit 12 aces and converted 40 percent of his break points, while Langmo had no aces and converted 33 percent of his break points. Mayo won 84 percent of his first-serve points, and he and Langmo each had 4 and 2 double faults respectively.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Mayo A.Langmo C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
69%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mayo A.Langmo C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
12
22
Break points saved·Clear edge
68
88
Break points won·Even
1
1
Deciding sets·Clear edge
7
22
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
52
34

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Mayo A.60%
Langmo C.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mayo A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mayo A.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Langmo C.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+105 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1254
6.4Overall Elo 1380
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1266
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
4.8Won 47% in Usa (51)
Country comfort
5.2Won 53% in Usa (73)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mayo A.Langmo C.
Freshness·Slight edge
82
90

Mayo A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Langmo C.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw