Aoi Ito vs Katherine SebovToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#289WTA
1549ELO
1568Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
#213WTA
1407ELO
1401Hard ELO
27 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLWW
Ito A.
3-6 4-6
Sebov K.
Ito A.
340
Sebov K.
662

Katherine Sebov defeated Aoi Ito in the Round of 128 at the Toronto hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-4 in favor of Sebov. Sebov and Ito's key stats were as follows: Sebov had 0 aces and 1 double fault, while Ito had 1 ace and 6 double faults; Sebov converted 50% of break points and Ito converted 25%; Sebov had 4 service breaks and Ito had 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
78%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Even
54%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
52%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Ito A.59%
Sebov K.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ito A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+168 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1401
6.8Overall Elo 1549
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1407
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
100

Ito A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Sebov K.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw