Thiago Monteiro vs Ivan GakhovHagen Q32

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Q32
#274ATP
1568ELO
1554Clay ELO
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
clay
Court 3 · 2nd on
#478ATP
1430ELO
1384Clay ELO
29 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWLW
Monteiro T.
6-7 6-4 6-4
Gakhov I.
Monteiro T.
62662
Gakhov I.
77441

Thiago Monteiro defeated Ivan Gakhov in the semifinals of the Hagen tournament on clay, winning 6-7, 6-4, 6-4. Monteiro hit 6 aces and 7 double faults, while converting 33% of break points and securing 4 service breaks. Gakhov had 12 aces, 2 double faults, 79% first-serve win percentage, 22% break points converted, and 2 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-18GenevaQ1clayIvan Gakhov4-6 7-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
45%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
6.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
23
34
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
82
Break points won·Even
10
9
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
79
22

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Monteiro T.69%
Gakhov I.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Monteiro T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+169 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1384
6.7Overall Elo 1568
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1430
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Monteiro T.: 15 days rest · Gakhov I.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw