Matthew Forbes vs Spencer JohnsonLexington Q32

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Q32
#781ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 1 · 1st on
#445ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Forbes M.
1-6 5-7
Johnson S.
Forbes M.
150
Johnson S.
672

Spencer Johnson defeated Matthew Forbes in the semifinals of the Lexington hard-court tournament, winning 6-1, 7-5. Johnson served eight aces to Forbes' one and converted 67% of his break points, compared to Forbes' 100%. Johnson won the match with four service breaks to Forbes' one.

Key context

  • Match story: Spencer Johnson came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
52%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
59%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
29%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
83%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
9.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Forbes M.37%
Johnson S.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Johnson S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.44 of last 8 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.8Won 62% in Usa (32)
Country comfort
6.8Won 79% in Usa (48)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
92

Forbes M.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Johnson S.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw