Maiko Uchijima vs Cristina BucsaToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#1436WTA
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
#38WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLLL
Uchijima M.
6-3 6-4
Bucsa C.
Uchijima M.
662
Bucsa C.
340

Maiko Uchijima defeated Cristina Bucsa in the Round of 128 of the Toronto hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-4 in Uchijima's favor. Uchijima hit 6 aces and 4 double faults, while winning 68% of her first serves and converting 67% of her break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
64%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
40%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
40%
Service points won·Slight edge
42%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
45%
Break points saved·Dominant
0%
43%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.0
0.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Uchijima M.12%
Bucsa C.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bucsa C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.23 of last 5 on hard
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
87

Uchijima M.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bucsa C.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 90%

Draw