Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida vs Mateus Alves — M15 Sao Paulo Final
M15 Sao Paulo · ITF · Final
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
clay
BRA2#414ATP
1245ELO
1247Clay ELO
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Ribeiro De Almeida G.3-6 5-7
Alves M.
Ribeiro De Almeida G.
350
Alves M.
672
Mateus Alves won the M15 Sao Paulo final, defeating Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida 6-3, 7-5. Alves served eight aces to Ribeiro De Almeida's four and did not commit a double fault, while Ribeiro De Almeida converted 40 percent of his break points. Alves secured four service breaks to Ribeiro De Almeida's two.
Key context
- Match story: Mateus Alves closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
—
59%
1st serve points won·
—
68%
2nd serve points won·
—
44%
Service points won·
—
58%
Return points won·
—
37%
Break points saved·
—
63%
Aces / match·
—
3.9
Double faults / match·
—
3.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTCRibeiro De Almeida G.47%
Alves M.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form2.63 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 41%