Anastasia Kulikova vs Ayana Akli — W75 Lexington Final
W75 Lexington · ITF · Final
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
Kulikova A.7-5 6-4
Akli A.
Kulikova A.
762
Akli A.
540
Anastasia Kulikova won the W75 Lexington final, defeating Ayana Akli 7-5, 6-4. Kulikova hit one ace and four double faults, while Akli had three aces and six double faults. Kulikova converted 57 percent of her break points and won four service breaks to Akli's two.
Key context
- Match story: Anastasia Kulikova edged Ayana Akli in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
52%
Return points won·Even
47%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
59%
47%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
0.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTCKulikova A.33%
Akli A.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Akli A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.1+6 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO4.9Hard Elo 1397
5.5Overall Elo 1419
ELO gap4.5Overall Elo 1381
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.1Won 68% in Usa (80)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 80%