Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen ZhengToronto Q32

Toronto · WTA · Q32
#79WTA
1678ELO
1686Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
#127WTA
1852ELO
1832Hard ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWLWL
Tararudee L.
6-3 6-4
Zheng Q.
Tararudee L.
662
Zheng Q.
340

Lanlana Tararudee won the Toronto final, defeating Qinwen Zheng 6-3, 6-4. Tararudee converted 67% of her break points and secured two service breaks to Zheng's zero. Zheng had more aces, 9, but also committed fewer double faults than Tararudee, 2 to 6.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
9.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
77
86
Break points won·Clear edge
86
98
Deciding sets·Clear edge
74
98
Tiebreaks·
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Tararudee L.32%
Zheng Q.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zheng Q. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1686
Surface ELO
6.8+146 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1678
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1852
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.88 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Tararudee L.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Zheng Q.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw