E. Strode vs M. Thomson — M15 Huamantla 4 Semi-final
M15 Huamantla 4 · ITF · Semi-final
USAE. Strode
#1283ATP
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
Strode E.7-6 7-5
Thomson M.
Strode E.
7772
Thomson M.
6450
E. Strode defeated M. Thomson in the semifinals of the M15 Huamantla 4 tournament, winning 7-6, 7-5 on hard courts. Strode served 13 aces and converted all of his break points, while Thomson did not convert any. Strode won 88% of his first serves and broke Thomson once in the match.
Key context
- Match story: E. Strode edged M. Thomson in two tight sets (7–6 7–5).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonStrode E.Thomson M.
1st serve in·
—
56%
1st serve points won·
—
69%
2nd serve points won·
—
39%
Service points won·
—
56%
Return points won·
—
42%
Break points saved·
—
59%
Aces / match·
—
3.5
Double faults / match·
—
5.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTCStrode E.49%
Thomson M.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchStrode E.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
19°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 51%