Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Shelton — Washington Quarter-final

Washington · ATP · Quarter-final
Alejandro Tabilo
CHI
Alejandro Tabilo
#29ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
Ben Shelton
USA2
Ben Shelton
#6ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Tabilo A.
4-6 7-5 6-4
Shelton B.
Tabilo A.
4762
Shelton B.
6541

Alejandro Tabilo advanced to the semifinals of the Washington tournament, defeating Ben Shelton 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 in the quarterfinals. The match was played on hard courts. Tabilo won the three-set contest.

Around the match

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Tabilo A.Shelton B.
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
60%
Service points won·Even
67%
71%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
74%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
11.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tabilo A.Shelton B.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
37
80
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
100
Break points won·Dominant
22
47
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
8
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Tabilo A.31%
Shelton B.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shelton B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tabilo A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Shelton B.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1750
Surface ELO
7.1+172 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1819
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1960
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tabilo A.Shelton B.
Freshness·Clear edge
80
68

Tabilo A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Shelton B.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw