Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Rebecca SramkovaToronto Q32

Toronto · WTA · Q32
#105WTA
1696ELO
1657Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
#128WTA
1654ELO
1629Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
Sawangkaew M.
1-6 4-6
Sramkova R.
Sawangkaew M.
140
Sramkova R.
662

Rebecca Sramkova won the Toronto final, defeating Mananchaya Sawangkaew 6-1, 6-4. Sramkova hit 11 aces to Sawangkaew's one and converted 75 percent of her break points, while Sawangkaew converted none. Sramkova won 74 percent of her first-serve points to Sawangkaew's 52 percent and took three service breaks to Sawangkaew's none.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-16Hua Hin 2R32hardRebecca Sramkova6-2 2-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
4.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (59 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
84
54
Break points saved·Dominant
74
27
Break points won·Clear edge
92
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
88
Tiebreaks·
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Sawangkaew M.68%
Sramkova R.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sawangkaew M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+28 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1629
5.5Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1654
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
93

Sawangkaew M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sramkova R.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw