Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny — Montreal Q32
AUS19
Mochizuki S.
Shintaro Mochizuki won the Montreal hard-court final, defeating Dane Sweeny 1-6, 7-6, 6-3. Mochizuki and Sweeny hit two and three aces, respectively, and were even in double faults at six apiece. Mochizuki converted 33% of break points, as did Sweeny, but Mochizuki secured three service breaks to Sweeny's five.
Key context
- Match story: Shintaro Mochizuki dropped the opening set before beating Dane Sweeny 1–6 7–6 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadMochizuki S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Sweeny D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About