Daniel Michalski vs Oleg PrihodkoM25 Koszalin Semi-final

M25 Koszalin · ITF · Semi-final
#330ATP
1435ELO
1386Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
clay
#396ATP
1395ELO
1332Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Michalski D.
1-6 4-6
Prihodko O.
Michalski D.
140
Prihodko O.
662

Oleg Prihodko advanced to the M25 Koszalin semifinals with a 6-1, 6-4 win over Daniel Michalski. Prihodko hit 8 aces to Michalski's 1 and converted 38% of break points, compared to Michalski's 0%. Prihodko won 86% of his first-serve points, and he broke Michalski's serve 3 times en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
5.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
27
17
Break points saved·Dominant
24
68
Break points won·Clear edge
26
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
14
Tiebreaks·Even
62
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Michalski D.55%
Prihodko O.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+54 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1332
5.5Overall Elo 1435
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1395
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Michalski D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
18°CRain
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw